PollCubby: The NewsCubby Polling Average
What is PollCubby
How we update and calculate- An independent, recency-weighted polling average from NewsCubby.
- Nonpartisan, with campaign, party, and PAC-paid polls excluded.
- Updated automatically several times a day.
- Reviewed and approved by humans, with AI assistance.
· · 14-day window · one poll per pollster · likely voters, then registered voters · How PollCubby works
National
Battle for the Senate
| State | Race | Leader | Spread | Polls |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TX | TexasTalarico vs. Paxton | Talarico | Talarico +2.9 | Average of 11 polls |
| ME | MaineJackson vs. Collins | Jackson | Jackson +3.7 | Average of 4 polls |
| MI | MichiganEl-Sayed vs. Rogers | El-Sayed | El-Sayed +6.0 | Average of 6 polls |
| NC | North CarolinaCooper vs. Whatley | Cooper | Cooper +10.7 | Average of 4 polls |
| GA | GeorgiaOssoff vs. Collins | Ossoff | Ossoff +15 | Latest poll |
| OH | OhioBrown vs. Husted | Brown | Brown +2.4 | Average of 5 polls |
| IA | IowaTurek vs. Hinson | Turek | Turek +2 | Latest poll |
| NH | New HampshirePappas vs. Sununu | Pappas | Pappas +7 | Latest poll |
| MN | MinnesotaFlanagan vs. Tafoya | Flanagan | Flanagan +3 | Latest poll, outside the 14-day window |
| KS | KansasHamilton vs. Marshall | Hamilton | Hamilton +4.9 | Average of 3 polls |
| AK | AlaskaPeltola vs. Sullivan | Peltola | Peltola +2 | Latest poll, outside the 14-day window |
Governors
| State | Race | Leader | Spread | Polls |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TX | TexasHinojosa vs. Abbott | Abbott | Abbott +3.4 | Average of 10 polls |
| KS | KansasHolscher vs. Masterson | Masterson | Masterson +1.6 | Average of 3 polls |
| OH | OhioActon vs. Ramaswamy | Ramaswamy | Ramaswamy +0.3 | Average of 5 polls |
| MI | MichiganBenson vs. James | Benson | Benson +7.8 | Average of 6 polls |
| GA | GeorgiaBottoms vs. Jackson | Bottoms | Bottoms +1 | Latest poll |
| IA | IowaSand vs. Lahn | Sand | Sand +4 | Latest poll |
Latest polls
Individual polls whose fieldwork ended inside the 14-day window. Averages use one poll per pollster. This list keeps each release.
| Race | Pollster | Results | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Governor | ActiVote (opens in a new tab) | Hinojosa 47.9 · Abbott 52.1 | Abbott +4.2 |
| Race | Pollster | Results | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas Governor | Emerson College (opens in a new tab) | Holscher 47.5 · Masterson 52.5 | Masterson +5 |
| Kansas Senate | Emerson College (opens in a new tab) | Hamilton 49.5 · Marshall 47.1 | Hamilton +2.4 |
| Texas Governor | Quantus Insights (opens in a new tab) | Hinojosa 46.3 · Abbott 51.6 | Abbott +5.3 |
| Texas Senate | ActiVote (opens in a new tab) | Talarico 52.1 · Paxton 47.9 | Talarico +4.2 |
| Texas Senate | Quantus Insights (opens in a new tab) | Talarico 48.4 · Paxton 49.4 | Paxton +1 |
| Race | Pollster | Results | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan Governor | CNN/SSRS (opens in a new tab) | Benson 53 · James 41 | Benson +12 |
| Michigan Governor | Guidant Polling and Strategy (opens in a new tab) | Benson 50 · James 45 | Benson +5 |
| Michigan Governor | Mitchell Research & Communications (opens in a new tab) | Benson 49 · James 44 | Benson +5 |
| Michigan Senate | CNN/SSRS (opens in a new tab) | El-Sayed 49 · Rogers 42 | El-Sayed +7 |
| Michigan Senate | Mitchell Research & Communications (opens in a new tab) | El-Sayed 51 · Rogers 44 | El-Sayed +7 |
| Texas Governor | CNN/SSRS (opens in a new tab) | Hinojosa 46 · Abbott 48 | Abbott +2 |
| Texas Senate | A2 Insights (opens in a new tab) | Talarico 50.2 · Paxton 47.2 | Talarico +3 |
| Texas Senate | CNN/SSRS (opens in a new tab) | Talarico 49 · Paxton 43 | Talarico +6 |
| Race | Pollster | Results | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maine Senate | Marist University (opens in a new tab) | Jackson 49 · Collins 47 | Jackson +2 |
| North Carolina Senate | Quantus Insights (opens in a new tab) | Cooper 51.4 · Whatley 42.8 | Cooper +8.6 |
| Texas Governor | Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center (opens in a new tab) | Hinojosa 47 · Abbott 50 | Abbott +3 |
| Texas Senate | Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center (opens in a new tab) | Talarico 49 · Paxton 47 | Talarico +2 |
| Race | Pollster | Results | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Governor | Echelon Insights (opens in a new tab) | Bottoms 49 · Jackson 48 | Bottoms +1 |
| Georgia Senate | Echelon Insights (opens in a new tab) | Ossoff 55 · Collins 40 | Ossoff +15 |
| Iowa Governor | Echelon Insights (opens in a new tab) | Sand 50 · Lahn 46 | Sand +4 |
| Iowa Senate | Echelon Insights (opens in a new tab) | Turek 45 · Hinson 43 | Turek +2 |
| Maine Senate | Echelon Insights (opens in a new tab) | Jackson 51 · Collins 44 | Jackson +7 |
| Michigan Governor | Michigan State University Department of Political Science/Verasight (opens in a new tab) | Benson 50.9 · James 41.5 | Benson +9.4 |
| Michigan Senate | Michigan State University Department of Political Science/Verasight (opens in a new tab) | El-Sayed 50.5 · Rogers 43.1 | El-Sayed +7.4 |
| Ohio Governor | Echelon Insights (opens in a new tab) | Acton 45 · Ramaswamy 47 | Ramaswamy +2 |
| Ohio Senate | Echelon Insights (opens in a new tab) | Brown 47 · Husted 47 | Even |
| Race | Pollster | Results | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa Senate | InsiderAdvantage (opens in a new tab) | Turek 45 · Hinson 47 | Hinson +2 |
| Michigan Governor | Glengariff Group, Inc. (opens in a new tab) | Benson 51.4 · James 44.5 | Benson +6.9 |
| Michigan Senate | Glengariff Group, Inc. (opens in a new tab) | El-Sayed 51.4 · Rogers 45.1 | El-Sayed +6.3 |
| Michigan Senate | InsiderAdvantage (opens in a new tab) | El-Sayed 47 · Rogers 46 | El-Sayed +1 |
| Ohio Senate | InsiderAdvantage (opens in a new tab) | Brown 47 · Husted 44 | Brown +3 |
| Race | Pollster | Results | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Governor | ActiVote (opens in a new tab) | Hinojosa 47.5 · Abbott 52.5 | Abbott +5 |
| Texas Governor | YouGov (opens in a new tab) | Hinojosa 46 · Abbott 48 | Abbott +2 |
| Texas Senate | ActiVote (opens in a new tab) | Talarico 51 · Paxton 49 | Talarico +2 |
| Texas Senate | YouGov (opens in a new tab) | Talarico 50 · Paxton 45 | Talarico +5 |
| Race | Pollster | Results | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio Governor | Marist University (opens in a new tab) | Acton 50 · Ramaswamy 43 | Acton +7 |
| Ohio Senate | Marist University (opens in a new tab) | Brown 48 · Husted 44 | Brown +4 |
| Texas Governor | Pollfinity (opens in a new tab) | Hinojosa 46 · Abbott 45 | Hinojosa +1 |
| Texas Governor | Slingshot Strategies (opens in a new tab) | Hinojosa 48 · Abbott 51 | Abbott +3 |
| Texas Senate | Pollfinity (opens in a new tab) | Talarico 48 · Paxton 43 | Talarico +5 |
| Texas Senate | Slingshot Strategies (opens in a new tab) | Talarico 51 · Paxton 47 | Talarico +4 |